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Study on Consciousness
John Sagi frames structure of mind/spirit
| William E. Halal |
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
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Commentary
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7/15/2010
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Framing Consciousness
John Sagi was one of our first authors with his landmark article "Can Computers Think?" This article surveys the literature on consciousness to identify functions that make up this poorly understood topic that is gaining such attention. A graphic is presented that illustrates the tentative structure of consciousness, and unanswered questions are presented. This is a seminal piece you don't want to
| John Sagi |
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
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Article
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7/13/2010
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Solar-Powered Night Flight
First Solar Aircraft Tested
| William Halal |
Alternative Energy
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Commentary
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7/9/2010
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Singapore II
TechCast visits Southeast Asia
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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6/24/2010
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Use of Biometrics
Two GWU graduate students, Vivian Chu and Gayathri Rajendran, provide an incisive survey of who is using biometrics, for what purpose, the advantages and disadvantages, and other practices. With security needs rising, this technology has a bright future.
| Vivian Chu and Gayathri Rajendran |
Biometrics
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Article
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6/16/2010
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Synthetic Life
Craig Venture’s Success and New Questions
| William Halal |
Artificial Organs Body Monitoring Cancer Cure Child Traits Genetic Therapy Grown Organs Life Extension Personal Medicine Synthetic Life Telemedicine
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Commentary
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5/26/2010
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TechCast on Small Business Show
Bill Halal Interview with Jim Blasingame
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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4/22/2010
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National Academies Report
TechCast Among Top Forecasting Systems
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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2/26/2010
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The Next IT/E-Commerce Boom
TechCast forecasts $43 T global market
| William E. Halal |
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Biocomputing Biometrics Broadband Cloud Computing Digital Convergence E-Government Entertainment E-Tailing Global Access Grid Computing Intelligent Interface Intelligent web Online Publishing Optical Computers Pervasive Networks Quantum Computing Smart Phones TeleWork Thought Power Video Conferencing Virtual Education Virtual Reality Web 2.0 Wireless
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Commentary
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1/30/2010
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Estimating the Green Boom
TechCast data suggest $20 trillion market
| William E. Halal |
Alternative Energy Aquaculture Climate Control Desalination Genetic Crops Green Business Hydrogen Economy Nuclear Fusion Organic Farming Precision Farming Recycling Smart Grids
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Commentary
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1/4/2010
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Now "dark flow"
Galaxies speeding toward mysterious point
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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12/22/2009
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Video Conferencing Almost Here
Lower costs and good quality arrive
| William Halal |
Broadband Intelligent Interface Video Conferencing
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Commentary
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11/20/2009
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Google Adds GPS Nav. on Cell Phones
Creative Destruction Ahead
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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11/2/2009
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Global Megacrisis
Survey on 4 Scenarios from Disaster to Maturity
| William Halal and Michael Marien |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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9/21/2009
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The Next Next Things
This is a beautifully illustrated full-page article that appeared in the Washington Post. It summarizes the work of TechCast, focusing on forecasts in Space Tourism, Intelligent Cars, Telemedicine, Thought Power, Artificial Intelligence, Smart Robots, Alternative Energy, and Cancer Cure.
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Article
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9/8/2009
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TechCast Interviewed on Topical Currents
Technologies of the Future
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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8/20/2009
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Business Collaboration Could Transform the Economy
New Article
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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8/7/2009
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Business Collaboration Could Transform the Economy
This seminal piece integrates knowledge on progressive business practices to offer an incisive solution to the limitations of markets that caused the financial meltdown. Redefining corporations into "collaborative enterprises" like Whole Foods, Nucor, and John & Johnson could convert this mess into a bold opportunity to unify left- and right-wing values, resolve today's moral crisis of capitalism,
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Article
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8/7/2009
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Technology Forecasting Discussion Group
An invitation to join.
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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7/23/2009
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New Forecasts
Quick Results on Intelligent Web and Body Monitoring
| William E. Halal |
Body Monitoring Intelligent web
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Commentary
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7/20/2009
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Green IT
One of our TechCast experts, Steve Ruth, has allowed us to reprint this new article showing how IT systems are going green.
| Steve Ruth |
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Biocomputing Biometrics Broadband Cloud Computing Grid Computing Intelligent Interface Intelligent web Optical Computers Pervasive Networks Quantum Computing Smart Phones TeleWork Thought Power Virtual Reality Wireless
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Article
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7/15/2009
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TechCast on Air America
Bill Halal Interviewed on the Lionel Show
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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7/9/2009
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Virgin Galactic Breaks Ground
First Space Tourism Flight Due 2011
| William E. Halal |
Space Tourism
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Commentary
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7/2/2009
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Crisis and Innovation
Denis Balaguer is a TechCast expert who studies economics. This essay argues that the thought of Joseph Schumpeter offers a positive view of the 2008 economic crisis as an opportunity for the creative destruction that introduces new forms of economic growth.
| Denis Balaguer |
All Technologies
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Article
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4/2/2009
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Nuclear Fusion - Finally
Lasers Used to Create Net Energy Gain
| William Halal |
Nuclear Fusion
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Commentary
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3/27/2009
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TechCast on Kojo Nnamdi Show
Bill Halal interviewed on WAMU
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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3/17/2009
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The Arlington Institute Alert
John Petersen -- our famous colleague who called the global financial collapse with stunning accuracy months before it hit -- has allowed us to post his assessment of the economic crisis.
This is a serious counterbalance to TechCast views, and we are pleased to present it here.
| John Petersen |
All Technologies
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Article
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3/6/2009
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Forecasts of a New Economic Boom in 2015
TechCast data show new frontiers will lead the global economy of out of recession. The TechCast forecasts are drawn on to outline how Green Business, Climate Control, Alternative Energy, E-Commerce, and other emerging business sectors are likely to create a robust new global boom about 2015.
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Article
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2/1/2009
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Governing Markets
Bill Halal draws on a career of studying corporate governance to outline how the visible hand of stakeholder collaboration can augment the visible hand of free markets. Examples of progressive management from the leading edge suggest that a "quasi-democratic theory of the firm" seems to be evolving that can create more competitive enterprises that also serve the public welfare more effectively.
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Article
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2/1/2009
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Breakthrough in DNA Sequencing
New method reads code in real time
| William E. Halal |
Cancer Cure Child Traits Genetic Therapy Grown Organs Life Extension Personal Medicine Synthetic Life
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Commentary
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1/20/2009
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Washington Post Article
TechCast get's full page coverage
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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1/6/2009
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The Automation of Thought
TechCast forecasts that artificial intelligence is expected to automate routine human knowledge about 2020. This event is of profound significance because it extends the long advance of automation from farm work, to manufacturing, services, and now even to the automation of thought - moving our attention beyond knowledge to consciousness itself.
| William E. Halal |
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
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Article
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11/6/2008
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Nano Cargo Ships
Tiny vessels find and kill cancer cells
| William E. Halal |
Cancer Cure Nanotechnology
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Commentary
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10/3/2008
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Technology's Promise
New book on TechCast
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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6/27/2008
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Cloud Computing
Google and Microsoft vye for the next IT frontier
| William E. Halal |
Digital Convergence
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Commentary
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4/30/2008
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News Release
TechCast working with Director of National Intelligence
| Wiiliam Halal |
E-Government
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Commentary
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4/15/2008
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Accelerating Change
Al Leedahl, one of our TechCast Experts, outlines the logic of accelerating technological change by drawing on the principles of Ray Kurzweil. Leedahl's theme is crucial because the Technology Revolution is poised to speed up relentlessly, driving a social transformation that is much debated today.
| Al Leedahl |
All Technologies
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Article
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4/2/2008
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The Biofuels Controversy
Arguments over Ethanol are heating up.
| Peter King |
Alternative Energy Climate Control Green Business Smart Grids
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Commentary
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3/15/2008
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Life With Talking Machines
Speech recognition entering mainstream
| William Halal |
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Intelligent Interface Smart Phones Virtual Reality
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Commentary
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3/6/2008
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Efficient Biomass Energy Almost Here
Startup producing $1/gallon fuel
| William Halal |
Alternative Energy
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Commentary
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2/22/2008
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A First for Thought Power
A monkey "walks" a robot by simply thinking
| William E. Halal |
Thought Power
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Commentary
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2/3/2008
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End of copyright protection to unleash online entertainment
Sony is last of music giants to drop music copyright protection
| William E. Halal |
Entertainment
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Commentary
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1/22/2008
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Introducing TechCast 5.0
Welcome to this greatly improved website
| William Halal |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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12/26/2007
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Thought Power
High-Tech brain interfaces allow sheer thoughts to control machines and communicate with people
| William E. Halal |
Thought Power
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Commentary
|
12/19/2007
|
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Executive Course on International Security
TechCast presented at this DoD Program on National Security
| Ryan |
All Technologies
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News release
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10/11/2007
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Is Employee Ownership Better?
Employee ownership has been around a while but rarely caught on. Bryce Smith surveyed employee owners and finds high motivation and improved corporate performance. Time for a change?
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All Technologies
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Article
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8/5/2007
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Two Paths to the RFID Revolution
RFID tags promise to revolutionize product labeling but the technology must overcome obstacles in cost, usage, and acceptance. Mat Meyer explores two scenarios that RFID could take and shows that trends suggest it is likely to be used everywhere about 2015.
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Smart Sensors
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Article
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7/21/2007
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The Metaverse: Life in 3D Virtual Environments
This study by Mateo Fernandez outlines how Second Life and other virtual systems are forming a larger form of cyberspace where virtual life takes place. This emerging "Metaverse" will allow people to interact in 3D, fully immersive cyber-reality, extending most aspects of real life through space and time.
| Mateo Fernandez |
Entertainment Virtual Education Virtual Reality Web 2.0
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Article
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6/25/2007
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Ray Kurzweil Apearance Via Hologram
TechCast presented at the Discovery 7 Conference, but was happily upstaged when Ray Kurzweil appeared live via hologram. At one point, the moderator was holding a conversation with Kurzweil, and it looked like an ordinary chat between 2 people.
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All Technologies
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News release
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6/1/2007
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TechCast Presents at Conference on Space Policy
TechCast was invited to present results of its space forecasts at an international conference sponsored by the National Defense University at Fort McNair, Washington, DC.
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All Technologies
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News release
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4/27/2007
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The Increasing Problem of Office Bullying
It's hard to imagine we are still fighting office bullies in a high-tech society, but Erica Hulsman's studies show this has become a serious problem worldwide. Learn why Erica finds this to be happening more frequently and what to do about it.
| Erica Hulsman |
All Technologies
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Article
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2/17/2007
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TechCast in Science & Spirit
Great article in Science & Spirit magazine.
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All Technologies
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News release
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1/25/2007
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Top Intelligence Conference
TechCast Participates in “Emerging Technologies that Could Change the World” Conference held by the U.S. Director of National Intelligence.
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All Technologies
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News release
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12/22/2006
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A Study of Web 2.0
TechCast participated in a study conducted by the Corporate Executive Board, with intriguing results.
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
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News release
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12/6/2006
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TechCast Visits South Korea
TechCast was a topic of discussion at the Global HR Forum, the Korean Parliament, and other venues. You may be interested in Bill Halal's "open letter" to the Korean people offering his thoughts on opportunities for technology in Asia.
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All Technologies
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News release
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11/14/2006
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When Will Virtual Reality Become A Reality?
Aaron Druck has been fascinated with virtual realty, like most of us, so he conducted a study to forecast its future use. Aaron explores the obstacles to VR in this article. He also presents results of a survey to estimate when it will be commercially available, the applications people favor, and how much they will pay.
| Aaron Druck |
Entertainment Virtual Education Virtual Reality Web 2.0
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Article
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10/26/2006
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Federal Trade Commission to Use TechCast Advice
The FTC's Tech-Ade Program enlists a TechCast blog to respond to questions on technology.
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All Technologies
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News release
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10/23/2006
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Welcome to the Premier Online Technology Forecasting System
TechCast has established a more sophisticated level of technology forecasting. By pooling the knowledge of 100 experts online, we offer the most authoritative forecasts available covering the full span of science and technology. You are invited to browse
| William E. Halal, PhD, President, TechCast LLC |
All Technologies
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Commentary
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10/16/2006
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Technology's Promise
Highlights of the TechCast Project were published in the Futurist containing bubble charts for all seven fields, summaries of selected breakthrough analyses, and decade-by-decade scenarios.
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All Technologies
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News release
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10/11/2006
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Web 2.0
The Internet is Moving to a Bottom-Up System
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All Technologies
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News release
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9/21/2006
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Issues in Science & Technology
Report of a Panel Discussion at the World Future Society Meeting of 2006 in Toronto, by Bill Halal, Kelly Carnes, Ted Gordon, and Ian Pearson
Report of a Panel Discussion at the World Future Society Meeting of 2006 in Toronto, by Bill Halal, Kelly Carnes, Ted Gordon, and Ian Pearson
Report of a Panel Discussion at the World Future Society Meeting of 2006 in Toronto, by Bill Halal, Kelly Carnes,
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Alternative Energy Climate Control Green Business Hydrogen Economy Nuclear Fusion Smart Grids
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Article
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8/28/2006
|
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Conflicting Relations with Mobile Devices
David Phillips examines the use of mobile devices by wireless warriors today to find out what we are really doing with these gadgets. His main finding is conflict - between employees, between employee and employer, between users and bystanders, and between productivity and etiquette.
| David Phillips |
Biometrics Broadband Digital Convergence E-Government Entertainment E-Tailing Global Access Intelligent Interface Online Publishing Smart Phones Virtual Education Web 2.0 Wireless
|
Article
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8/16/2006
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Telework: Overcoming the Obstacles
Veasna Chim surveyed Federal managers to explore the obstacles to teleworking and finds there are few good reasons to prevent taking advantage of this timely practice. "I like the idea that telework “brings the work to the worker," he concludes. "And since teleworking has been shown to benefit the employer as well, we have a win-win situation."
| Veasna Chim |
Broadband Cloud Computing Digital Convergence E-Government Entertainment E-Tailing Global Access Grid Computing Online Publishing Virtual Education Web 2.0
|
Article
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8/6/2006
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KM WORLD
TechCast describes its model of "ONLINE LEARNING SYSTEMS" to the readers of KM WORLD, a top magazine in the critical field of Knowledge Management.
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All Technologies
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News release
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7/18/2006
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Why Do People Reject or Accept Genetically Modified Foods?
Whitney Tull produced this fine study of genetically modified foods, focusing on why some people seem to accept them just fine and others abhor the idea. We think she's discovered why great conflicts often rage over technological issues.
| Whitney Tull |
Genetic Crops
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Article
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7/5/2006
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Self-Managed Teams: Organizations for the 21st Century
Michelle May provides an incisive survey of attitudes toward this central concept for transforming workplaces. Read this while thinking about what would be best for your organization.
| Michelle May |
All Technologies
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Article
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6/15/2006
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Interview with the BCB Communicator
TechCast interviewed by VP Penny Omnès.
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
|
Commentary
|
5/31/2006
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NASA Langley Research Center
TechCast presents to NASA scientists and engineers
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All Technologies
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News release
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5/16/2006
|
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Resolving the Intelligent Design vs. Evolution Conflict
Recent understanding of consciousness suggests a possible resolution to the nagging conflict over scientific evolution versus intelligent design. Both views may be basically correct.
| William E. Halal |
All Technologies
|
Commentary
|
4/12/2006
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TechCast Interviewed by Playboy Magazine
TechCast was interviewed recently for an article in Playboy forecasting the top five technologies that are likely to dominate the next few years.
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All Technologies
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News release
|
2/2/2006
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Emerging Business Opportunities in Biometrics
The identification of people using biometrics is poised to take off. This prescient study by Xi Su, a Chinese-American business analyst, evaluates the opportunities.
| Xi Su |
Digital Convergence E-Government Entertainment E-Tailing Global Access Online Publishing Virtual Education Web 2.0
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Article
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2/1/2006
|
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Nanotech to Go Mainstream by 2020
The Economic Times, India's largest daily newspaper, invited the following article from TechCast for its New Years Day Edition, 2006
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All Technologies
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News release
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1/10/2006
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Energy Impact of Emerging Technologies
Skip Laitner of the EPA has been striving to improve national energy forecasts by incorporating Delphi methods. This article reports his recent work, including results of the TechCast study listed below.
| Skip Laitner |
Alternative Energy Climate Control Green Business Hydrogen Economy Smart Grids
|
Article
|
9/19/2005
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EPA Study
TechCast completed this study for the Environmental Protection Agency to demonstrate how our method might improve national energy models. The study also broke new ground by showing close agreement between two groups of experts and by forecasting complete adoption trajectories.
| William Halal and Jeff Kallmeyer |
Alternative Energy Climate Control Green Business Hydrogen Economy Nuclear Fusion Smart Grids
|
Article
|
9/19/2005
|
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TechCast 's Value Noted
Fleet Owner Magazine published a piece on TechCast, noting that the site carries technology forecasting to "a new level of insight and understanding."
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All Technologies
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News release
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8/15/2005
|
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Attitudes Toward Androids
Technology trends are introducing robots in offices and homes, raising the issue of how we interact with our mechanical brethren. This study of public attitudes toward living with androids offers fascinating forecasts. For instance, the authors find that people prefer female robots.
| Tom Mix and Jason Rupinski |
Smart Robots
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Article
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8/4/2005
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Business Opportunities In Biometrics
Biometrics is a hot new emerging technology that could resolve today's mounting security threats. This study by Chinese business analyst Xi Su forecasts market growth, strategic applications in business and government, and prospects for improving security.
| Xi Zu |
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Biometrics Broadband Cloud Computing Grid Computing Intelligent Interface Smart Phones Virtual Reality Wireless
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Article
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8/2/2005
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The GW Forecast
This is the first article published by the team that now sponsors TechCast, when mail was used to manage the Deplhi process. Contrast this with the present status of TechCast, and extrapolate to where we should be in another 10 years.
| Halal, William E. |
All Technologies
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Article
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7/8/2005
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The Bandwidth Solution
The burgeoning demand for bandwidth requires more than DSL, cable, or wireless. Hong and Lee explain the central role of optical fiber building global network backbones.
| Soon-Seong Hong and Jong-Hyuk lee |
Broadband Cloud Computing Digital Convergence E-Government Entertainment E-Tailing Global Access Grid Computing Intelligent Interface Online Publishing Virtual Education Virtual Reality Web 2.0 Wireless
|
Article
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3/26/2005
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Space Colonization for Dummies
Roy Garrison makes the exotic challenge of pioneering human settlements in space easy to grasp for lay people. A short but complete tour of the field.
| Roy Garrison |
Contact Humans On Mars Moon Base Space Tourism Star Travel
|
Article
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3/20/2005
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Can Computers Think?
Dr. John Sagi addresses the issue of machine intelligence using an extensive survey with thought provoking results.
| John Sagi |
All Technologies
|
Article
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3/11/2005
|
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The Intelligent Internet
TechCast studies show e-commerce should reach 30% adoption about 2010 along with an intelligent interface, introducing a conversational form of working, shopping and conducting most other social functions online. This premium article is made available so that visitors can sample TechCast Publications.
| Halal, William E. |
All Technologies
|
Article
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3/6/2005
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Governing the Internet
Miriam Sapiro was an adviser to President Clinton and is now an international consultant. She analyzes the international body that regulates the Internet.
| Miriam Sapiro, CEO |
All Technologies
|
Commentary
|
3/6/2005
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Voice Over Packet Cable
Harvey Bazarian heads an IT consulting group that works at the frontier of innovation. He sums up the enormous potential of this better version of VOIP that could revolutionize communications.
| Harvey Bazarian, CEO |
All Technologies
|
Commentary
|
3/2/2005
|
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AOL Award
TechCast wins First Prize in AOL technology strategy competition.
| |
All Technologies
|
News release
|
2/27/2005
|
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Newsweek Article
TechCast's work featured in Newsweek.
| |
All Technologies
|
News release
|
2/9/2005
|
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E-DATING: Shopping Online for Romance
Ryfie Amkraut conducted this study while a student in Prof. Halal's Emerging Technologies course because she was struck by the flurry of online dating services. It will intrigue you.
| Ryfka Amkraut |
All Technologies
|
Commentary
|
10/10/2004
|
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The Decline of Scientific Rationalism
Professor John Artz integrates his studies of philosophy and computers to conclude that today's "rational" model of knowledge will soon pass.
| John Artz |
All Technologies
|
Commentary
|
2/24/2002
|